Electricity generation capacity this year has been projected to hit 6,288 megawatts (MW) while the over dependence on fossil fuel (gas) is expected to decline by nine per cent, an energy document of the Federal Government has shown.
Analysis of the projections showed that the reliance of the national electricity grid on fossil fuel (gas-to-power) in 2016 was 71 per cent when total average generation reached 4,500MW. The rate for gas fuel is projected to decline to 62 per cent this year.
The energy mix document showed that of the 4,500mw generation figure, gas fuel produced 3,121mw (71%). The Large Hydro Power (LHP) involving Kainji, Jebba and Shiroro hydros generated 1,200mw. The Small and Medium Hydro Power (SMHP) were said to produce 45mw in the year while wind produced 10mw.
In the mix, however, some components of electricity source were apparently on zero level. They are coal, nuclear, solar Photo Voltaic (PV), Solar thermal, biomass and geothermal energy sources.
In percentage, gas-to-power contributed 71 per cent electricity, large hydros 28 per cent, and the small hydros contributed only one per cent.
This year, the Nigerian Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL) Action Agenda document shows that the expected on-grid power capacity should be 6,288mw. The grid however will still be dominated by the gas-fired plants (fossil fuel) as they should generate 3,913mw (62 per cent); this will be 792mw higher than what it produced last year.
The non-gas-based electricity generation sources should be at 2,375mw which is 37.7 per cent of the national grid capacity. This is also 1,120mw higher than what they contributed last year.
In summary, the document projects a 1,912mw increase in the national grid this year.
However at present, data from the Nigeria System Operator (NSO) shows that the peak electricity generation as at April 3rd, 2017 is 3,931MW. This means there is still a deficit of 2,357MW from the projection at the end of the 1st quarter of 2017.
Source: Daily Trust